Climate change is making water management much harder for farmers in places like San Joaquin County.

Graph showing mean temperature data for San Joaquin during the California Water Year from 1895 to 2024. Temperatures fluctuate year-to-year, but slowly increase over time. The first 20 years have an average of 54.33°F.  The last 20 years have an average of 56.54°F.
Mean Temperature data from Western Regional Climate Center – State Climate Tracker in Sept 2024

Rising temperatures are causing more water to evaporate from the soil and to transpire from plants themselves. As a result, crops need more water than they would in cooler temperatures.

With more water vapor in the atmosphere, rainfall is also becoming less predictable—sometimes there’s too much, leading to flooding, and other times there’s barely any, causing droughts. This makes it really difficult for farmers to plan how to water their crops effectively. In fact, one bad flood or drought could ruin an entire season’s crops.

Graph showing precipitation data for San Joaquin during the California Water Year from 1895 to 2024. Amount of precipitation fluctuates year-to-year. Precipitation from 1956-2024 shows greater variability, with more pronounced highs and lows, compared to the more stable precipitation patterns observed from 1895-1955.
Precipitation data pulled from Western Regional Climate Center – State Climate Tracker in Sept 2024

These challenges force farmers to rely heavily on groundwater to keep their crops alive. But this increased demand is draining the region’s groundwater supplies faster than they can be refilled. Without better water management strategies, places like San Joaquin County could face even more severe water shortages in the future, threatening their ability to produce food.

THINK-PAIR-SHARE

Think about the water cycle.

How does increased evaporation from rising temperatures contribute to more unpredictable rainfall patterns?

Why might more water vapor in the atmosphere lead to both extreme droughts and heavy rainfall?